Sheikh Ahmed Al-Maktoum's Emirates airline is threatening to shake up the world order in the skies
During World War II, the skies of Europe witnessed plenty of dogfights between the Allies and the Axis. The second week of June 2010 saw the start of another, although no planes will be shot down here. Emirates airline chairman and CEO, Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al-Maktoum, challenged Lufthansa, Europe’s largest airline, on its home ground.
Sheikh Ahmed placed an $11.5 billion order for 32 more Airbus A380 Superjumbo aircraft. With 90 on order in all, Emirates is set to be the world’s largest operator of the plane putting Lufthansa, a much bigger and older carrier, on the backfoot. Lufthansa CEO Wolfgang Mayrhuber could do little but grin and bear it.
Emirates offers more seats than Air France and British Airways (BA) combined on many intercontinental routes, despite a very small home market. With the huge new capacity on order, the writing is on the wall for European flag carriers. Half-way around the world in India, Emirates has worked pretty much the same way. In the last two years, it has grown its network to ten cities, building a formidable and competitive market presence. Emirates now operates 185 flights a week into India, as opposed to Air India’s 179. Constrained only by Indian government-restrictions on starting newer stations and flights, it is hungry for more.
For many in the travel business, in terms of passenger preference and network, Emirates is effectively India’s new national carrier. Head to head, the Air-India group, with Indian Airlines and Air India Express, has a higher number of international flights. But Emirates is adding new connections every month (Prague and Baghdad in July and Madrid from August). In contrast, Air India has been shrinking operations, in its fight to stay alive. From Dubai, Emirates connects to over 100 cities all over the globe compared to AI’s network of about 30 odd global cities connected from India. Even stronger European airlines like Lufthansa, British Airways and Air France — which used to eat Air India’s lunch by carrying west-bound Indian passengers to their big hubs — are now nursing black eyes with Emirates beating them at their own game.
Ready Before Demand Arises
From a two plane operation in 1985, Emirates has moved up the pecking order by steadily investing in capacity. The huge double-decker A380s ordered in Berlin, each of which can carry 550 passengers, will add many new seats on key routes such as London to Dubai. It is seenas a turning point for the airline industry. The new capacity assumes hundreds of new flights, which can only come from a more liberalised global airline regulation. Airlines like Emirates are pushing for this opening up, a process being resisted mostly by older carriers.
Fresh capacity often pushes down fares. Emirates fares are already up to 50 percent cheaper than those offered by European rivals on transatlantic routes. The additional capacity offered by the A380s could make it difficult for flag carriers such as BA to compete on some segments. The flights through Dubai have already made some traditional routes operated by BA, Virgin Atlantic and other European carriers uncompetitive. For instance, the “Kangaroo Route” from Europe to Australia via Singapore or Bangkok, has been affected by the arrival of the three Gulf carriers Emirates, Qatar and Etihaad. The combination of more competition and a recession has forced both BA and Virgin to cut capacity on their Australia services.