Kharif sowing further improved over the past week, with most of the improvement seen in rice and pulses, two crops where sowing was lagging, implying some catchup
Even as monsoon rainfall had caught up with speed and spread, barring the eastern region, in July, the pace has slowed to effectively become weak in August. Gradually approaching the end of the monsoon season in September, rainfall became tad scanty in a few regions. Monsoon rainfall was deficient across the country over the past week.
Cumulatively, pan India rainfall is still normal, at 7 percent below the long period average (LPA) for the period June 1 to August 20, according to an analysis by Barclays based on Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) data. IMD classifies rainfall within 10 percent of the LPA as normal. Out of 36 subdivisions, 26 saw ‘deficient or large deficient’ rainfall in the past week.
Region wise, the cumulative surplus rainfall reduced in the northwest and central regions, while the southern region slipped into deficit. For this week, the IMD has forecast subdued rainfall activity to continue over most regions, though noted the likelihood of heavy rainfall over eastern and central parts. If this happens, this should reduce rainfall deficiency in the eastern region, says Barclays.